My project is being held in Cologne. It is a very pleasant city to live in. Very multinational and very friendly. I’m very comfortable here. Even under quarantine conditions, it is acceptable for me here - I understand that this is my city for life. Now it’s very warm, and although relief has been introduced, people are planning to get sick with a coronovirus. What is the reason for this? How much are the volunteers aware of the safety issue of other artists of your project. I work in the theater on a project, and although the appearances were canceled, we are going to rehearse in small groups. This is an important process. And when the theaters open, we will double all the shows in which I help. Now let's talk about forecasts. In Germany, quarantine was again weakened. Now you can sit in restaurants (not only on summer venues), attend churches, and people over 60 do not observe the regime of self-isolation. Several lands are not ready for such exemptions, but this does not mean that young people adhere to the rules.
So, to determine if the area is ready to weaken quarantine, you need to calculate the following:
-How many new infections have been discovered. They should be less than 12 per 100 thousand of the population and so for 7 days.
-How many occupied beds are there in infectious diseases hospitals (which are defined as supporting hospitals for patients with coronavirus). They should be less than 50%.
-How many tests have been done. Tested should be more than 12 per 100 thousand of the population, and so within 7 days.
If all these indicators coincide, then it is believed that doctors in a particular land are keeping the epidemic under control. If there aren’t and there are local outbreaks, then quarantine must be returned and found out that it was not effective in anti-epidemiological measures.
So it was before. For example, on May 19, 1227 infections were detected per day - then quarantine was weakened for the first time. They opened beauty salons, summer cafes, and allowed to walk in the parks. May 29, when they discovered 726 new infections, earned public transport, hotels, allowed sports events for professional athletes. On the eve of May 28, 672 people fell ill during the day, but on that day the metro resumed work. Why, then, quarantine measures are weakening every day, if more and more cases of infection are detected, and every day their number is approximately the same, and sometimes noticeably more than usual? When they decide whether to quarantine or not, they consider not only the number of infected people per day. The calculations that guide our country are a bit more complicated. And now, decisions for each area must be made by their leaders. And data on the possibility of weakening quarantine are published daily on the website of the Ministry of Health.
Seeing all these factors, we are young in Europe, we understand that it is better to maintain a mask and glove mode. It will be calmer for you and everyone around. It is clear that I want to hang out and take a walk, but these are forced measures, which were not taken by individual regions or countries, but the whole of Europe. I wish you good health and good mood in such a difficult moment. Take care of yourself.